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Serie A
Serie A Italy
36 round 08.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 18:45 UTC 36 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Torino - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Stadium Olimpiyskiy Stadium
Referee S. Galipo
Torino
Torino
2 : 1
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Torino — 36%

1 · Torino36.5%
X · draw28.2%
2 · Sassuolo35.4%

Model estimate: win Torino 36.5%, draw 28.2%, win Sassuolo 35.4%. Model favourite — Torino.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Torino - Sassuolo May 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Strongest: Torino - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 3.14 / 2 2.81
  • 1X2 market: Torino 36.0% / X 30.2% / Sassuolo 33.8%
  • Glicko: Torino 36.5% / X 28.2% / Sassuolo 35.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 36.1%
X 30.2%
2 33.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 29.6%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Olimpiko Grande Torino (Turin, Italy), 18 000 zriteley (64% pri vmestimosti 27 958)
Referee Simone Galipo
Start 08.05.2026 18:45 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Torino 36%
💹 Market Torino 3602%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Torino - Sassuolo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Torino - Sassuolo, 8 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Torino - Sassuolo, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

7/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 19
Statistics 22
Lineups 50
min Event Player Team
38' 38' Yellow Card | L. Lipani L. Lipani Sassuolo
51' 51' Yellow Card | L. Marianucci Luca Marianucci Torino
51' 51' Normal Goal | K. Thorstvedt | assist/sub out: L. Lipani K. Thorstvedt Sassuolo
59' 59' Substitution 3 | A. Njie | assist/sub out: D. Zapata A. Njie Torino
59' 59' Substitution 4 | V. Lazaro | assist/sub out: M. Pedersen V. Lazaro Torino
63' 63' Yellow Card | M. Prati M. Prati Torino
63' 63' Substitution 4 | C. Volpato | assist/sub out: D. Berardi Cristian Volpato Sassuolo
63' 63' Substitution 5 | L. Lipani | assist/sub out: I. Kone L. Lipani Sassuolo
Metric Torino Sassuolo SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.26 2.24 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 3 final
Shots off target 10 3 final
Shots on target 4 7 final
Udary vsego 18 13 final
Fouls soversheno 13 9 final
Zheltye kartochki 4 2 final
Offsides 0 0 final
Torino #1 A. Paleari, #18 G. Simeone, #33 Rafael Obrador, #77 E. Ebosse, #92 A. Njie, #10 N. Vlasic, #23 Saúl Coco, #66 G. Gineitis, #4 M. Prati, #35 Luca Marianucci, #20 V. Lazaro
Sassuolo #3 J. Doig, #42 K. Thorstvedt, #45 A. Laurienté, #49 A. Murić, #18 N. Matić, #80 T. Muharemovic, #99 A. Pinamonti, #6 S. Walukiewicz, #7 Cristian Volpato, #35 L. Lipani, #25 W. Coulibaly
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Laurienté Sassuolo football.player.assists 0
A. Laurienté Sassuolo football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Murić Sassuolo football.player.assists 0
A. Murić Sassuolo football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Pinamonti Sassuolo football.player.assists 0
A. Pinamonti Sassuolo football.player.minutes_played 76
Cristian Volpato Sassuolo football.player.assists 0
Cristian Volpato Sassuolo football.player.minutes_played 63
D. Bakola Sassuolo football.player.assists 0
D. Bakola Sassuolo football.player.minutes_played 11
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Torino 36.1% 36.5% market and model agree
Draw 30.9% 28.2% draw risk
Sassuolo 32.9% 35.4%
xG - 1.17 : 1.15
Total 2.5 Over 66.2% - Under 33.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.5% / 28.2% / 35.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,484 / 1,538 Torino / Sassuolo
RD 71 / 71 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.77 market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
X 7.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 63.6%
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%
1X 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 64.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · value +29.7% · model 66.2%
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 33.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.68 37.3% 2.77 36.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.23 31.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.49 67.1%
Over 2.25 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% —
Over 3.5 3.40 29.4% —
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4% —
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8% —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9% —
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9% —
Match center
Torino
Founded 1906
Sassuolo
Founded 1922
Match center
Torino
ZA Z. Aboukhlal Muscle Injury
AI A. Ismajli Muscle Injury
Sassuolo
JI J. Idzes Foot Injury
FC Fali Candé Knee Injury
Ardian Ismayli Zakariya Abukhlyal Faustino Andzhorin Travmirovannye Edoardo Peranolo Fali Kande Daniel Boloka Dzhey Idzes Diskvalifitsirovannye Aliu Fadera CHAMP
Torino Founded: 1906
Sassuolo Founded: 1922
Match center
Torino
L D D W W
02.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 UdineseUdinese
26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 InterInter
19.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 PisaPisa
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Sassuolo
W D W L W
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:0 AC MilanAC Milan
26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
17.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 ComoComo
12.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 GenoaGenoa
04.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 CagliariCagliari
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTorino - Sassuolo

Torino
1 matches total
Sassuolo
Torino: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sassuolo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Torino 1:0 (21.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 21.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino
1:0
Sassuolo
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Torino
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Sassuolo
Torino Team comparison Sassuolo
35 Games 35
11 Wins 14
8 Draws 7
16 Losses 14
39 Scored 43
58 Conceded 44
41 Points 49
89.68 Attacks 85
39.56 Dangerous attacks 36.76
0 Big chances 0
11.29 Shots on goal 10.31
3.97 Shots on target 3.66
leniya 0.11 Goly Kristian Torstvedt Luka Lipani 0:1 51' Dzhovanni Simeone Enso Eboss 1 66' Markus Pedersen 2:1 70' Nakazaniya Luka Lipani 38' Luka Maryanuchchi 51' Matteo Prati 63' Kristian Torstvedt 86' Nils Nkunku 89' Gvidas Gineytis 90+3'

Torino Sassuolo 35 Games 35 11 Wins 14 8 Draws 7 16 Losses 14 39 Scored 43 58 Conceded 44 41 Points 49 89.68 Attacks 85 39.56 Dangerous attacks 36.76 0 Big chances 0 11.29 Shots on goal 10.31 3.97 Udary v stvor 3.66 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.77 Uglovye 3.86 1.77 Offsaydy 1.8 14 Foly 12.09 43.71 % vladeniya myachom 45.17 1.89 Warnings 2.2 0.03 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Kristian Torstvedt Luka Lipani 0:1 51' Dzhovanni Simeone Enso Eboss 1 66' Markus Pedersen 2:1 70' Nakazaniya Luka Lipani 38' Luka Maryanuchchi 51' Matteo Prati 63' Kristian Torstvedt 86' Nils Nkunku 89' Gvidas Gineytis 90+3'