Serie A Italy

20.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 18:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Udinese - AC Milan

Italy Futbol

Udinese

0 : 3

Finished

AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - AC Milan 20 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.66 / X 3.57 / 2 1.84
1X2 market: Udinese 20.7% / X 27.0% / AC Milan 52.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 20.7%

X 27.0%

2 52.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%

Over 2.5 46.4%

Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 18:45 UTC

Match center

Udinese - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.84 market consensus · line only

X 3.57 market consensus · line only

1 4.66 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 2.02 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.54 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	4.72 21.2%
Х	3.59 27.9%
П2	1.85 54.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
П1	4.75 21.1%	4.74 21.1%	4.60 21.7%	4.72 21.2%	4.72 21.2%	4.40 22.7%
Х	3.55 28.2%	3.68 27.2%	3.58 27.9%	3.59 27.9%	3.59 27.9%	3.40 29.4%
П2	1.81 55.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.90 52.6%	1.80 55.6%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.89 52.9%	1.89 52.9%	1.97 50.8%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.23 81.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_away	1.32 75.8%	1.31 76.3%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	2.03 49.3%	2.02 49.5%	2.04 49.0%	2.04 49.0%	1.95 51.3%

Match center

Udinese

W W D L L

14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A

Udinese 1:0 Pisa

31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A

Udinese 2:1 Inter

25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A

Udinese 1:1 Hellas Verona

25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Udinese 2:3 Fiorentina

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Udinese 0:2 Juventus

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

AC Milan

W W L W L

14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 1:0 Bologna

29.08 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:0 Lecce

23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 1:2 Cremonese

24.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:0 Monza

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 1:3 AS Roma

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - AC Milan

Udinese

2 matches total

AC Milan

Udinese: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

AC Milan: 2 (100%)

Biggest win AC Milan 0:4 (11.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 11.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 0

Match history

11.04 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Udinese

0:4

AC Milan

19.10 16:00 UTC

Serie A

Udinese

0:1

AC Milan