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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Bologna

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
0 : 0
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Bologna April 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.48 / X 3.48 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 17.7% / X 27.9% / Bologna 54.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 17.7%
X 27.9%
2 54.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 40.8%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 5.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.48 18.3%
X 3.48 28.7%
1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 2.15 46.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.37 42.2%
Under 2.5 1.63 61.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.97 25.2%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
Udinese
L L L L W
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 TorinoTorino
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:4 AC MilanAC Milan
04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 GenoaGenoa
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 Venezia
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 CagliariCagliari
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Bologna
W L D W D
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 InterInter
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 NapoliNapoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Bologna

Udinese
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history