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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
22.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Bologna

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
0 : 3
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Bologna November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.38 / X 3.13 / 2 2.28
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 28.1% / X 30.3% / Bologna 41.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 28.1%
X 30.3%
2 41.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 3.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.44 29.1%
X 3.20 31.3%
2.35 42.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.24 44.6% 2.29 43.7% 2.34 42.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Udinese
L W L W D
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
01.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 JuventusJuventus
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 LecceLecce
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Bologna
W W D D W
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 NapoliNapoli
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:1 ParmaParma
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 TorinoTorino
26.10 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Bologna

Udinese
1 matches total
Bologna
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese
0:0
Bologna