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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.10.2024 16:30 UTC Match prediction
25.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Cagliari

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
2 : 0
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Cagliari October 25, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.16 / 2 3.72
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 43.1% / X 30.8% / Cagliari 26.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 43.1%
X 30.8%
2 26.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.26 44.3%
X 3.16 31.7%
3.72 26.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.71 58.5%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.19 45.7%
Under 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.55 64.5%
2.57 38.9%
Match center
Udinese
L W L L W
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 LecceLecce
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 InterInter
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 ParmaParma
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Cagliari
W D W L L
20.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 TorinoTorino
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 JuventusJuventus
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 ParmaParma
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 Empoli
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:4 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Cagliari

Udinese
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history