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Serie A
Serie A Italy
05.10.2025 10:30 UTC Match prediction
05.10.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Cagliari

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Cagliari October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.16 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 44.7% / X 30.2% / Cagliari 25.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 44.8%
X 30.2%
2 25.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 10:30 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
X 3.22 31.1%
4.00 25.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Udinese
L L W W D
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 PisaPisa
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:1 InterInter
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Cagliari
L W W L D
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 InterInter
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 LecceLecce
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:0 ParmaParma
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 NapoliNapoli
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Cagliari

Udinese
2 matches total
Cagliari
Udinese: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Udinese 2:0 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 03.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese
2:1
Cagliari
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese
2:0
Cagliari