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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.04.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Como

Italy Futbol
Stadium Фриули
Udinese
Udinese
0 : 0
Finished
Como
Como
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Como — 56%

1 · Udinese19.3%
X · draw25.0%
2 · Como ✓ Прогноз55.7%

Model estimate: win Udinese 19.3%, draw 25.0%, win Como 55.7%. Model favourite — Como.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Como 6 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Strongest: Como - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.08 / X 3.74 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 18.7% / X 25.4% / Como 55.9%
  • Glicko: Udinese 19.3% / X 25.0% / Como 55.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 32.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 18.7%
X 25.4%
2 ✓ Прогноз 55.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 56.3%
Total ТМ 2.5
Score 0:1

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 06.04.2026 10:30 UTC
Stadium Фриули (Удине)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Como 56%
💹 Market Como 5587%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Udinese - Como

Udinese: Победа 5.25 Udinese: Ничья 3.75 Como Победа: 1.67 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 2.00 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 1.80 Индивидуальный тотал голов Udinese больше 0.5: 1.62 Индивидуальный тотал голов Udinese меньше 0.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тотал голов Como больше 1.5: 1.…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 15
Statistics 24
Lineups 43
min Event Player Team
50' 50' Yellow Card | Máximo Perrone Como
59' 59' Substitution 1 | Anastasios Douvikas | assist/sub out: Mërgim Vojvoda Como
60' 60' Substitution 2 | Maxence Caqueret | assist/sub out: Martin Baturina H. J. Traore Como
60' 60' Substitution 3 | Máximo Perrone | assist/sub out: Sergi Roberto Como
65' 65' Substitution 1 | Jakub Piotrowski | assist/sub out: Lennon Miller Lautaro Valenti Udinese
69' 69' Substitution 2 | Jürgen Ekkelenkamp | assist/sub out: Idrissa Gueye A. Mosquera Udinese
69' 69' Substitution 3 | Hassane Kamara | assist/sub out: Juan Arizala M. Øxenberg Udinese
72' 72' Yellow Card | Diego Carlos Alessandro Cardinali Como
Metric Udinese Como SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 0.94 0.67 final
Заблокированные удары 9 4 final
Удары мимо 1 4 final
Удары в створ 4 4 final
Удары всего 14 12 final
Фолы совершено 10 12 final
Желтые карточки 2 3 final
Офсайды 3 2 final
Udinese #8 Jesper Karlström, #10 N. Zaniolo, #11 H. Kamara, #14 Arthur Atta, #19 Kingsley Ehizibue, #24 J. Piotrowski, #27 Christian Kabasele, #28 Oumar Solet, #31 Thomas Kristensen, #32 J. Ekkelenkamp, #40 Maduka Okoye
Como #1 Jean Butez, #2 Marc Kempf, #3 A. Valle, #6 Maxence Caqueret, #10 N. Paz, #11 A. Douvikas, #23 M. Perrone, #28 I. Smolcic, #33 Lucas Da Cunha, #34 Diego Carlos, #38 A. Diao
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Diao Como football.player.assists 0
A. Diao Como Дриблинг попытки 4
A. Diao Como Дриблинг успешно 3
A. Diao Como Единоборства всего 1
A. Diao Como Единоборства выиграно 8
A. Diao Como Фолы совершено 2
A. Diao Como Сейвы 0
A. Diao Como football.player.minutes_played 80
A. Diao Como Точность пасов % 1
A. Diao Como Ключевые пасы 18
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Udinese 18.0% 19.3%
Draw 25.3% 25.0% draw risk
Como 56.7% 55.7% market and model agree
xG - 0.83 : 1.60
Total 2.5 Over 32.0% - Under 68.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.01
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 19.3% / 25.0% / 55.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,506 / 1,657 Udinese / Como
RD 73 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 55.7%
X 3.74 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.08 market consensus · no value · model 19.3%
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 80.7%
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 75.0%
1X 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 44.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 32.0%
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · value +21.8% · model 68.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2% 5.42 18.5% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%
П2 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.06 94.3% — 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 0.75 — — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 — — 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.5 1.33 75.2% — —
ТБ 2.25 — 1.81 55.3% —
ТБ 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% —
ТБ 3.5 3.55 28.2% — —
ТБ 4.5 7.00 14.3% — —
ТМ 0.5 8.50 11.8% — —
ТМ 1.5 3.25 30.8% — —
ТМ 2.25 — 2.09 47.9% —
ТМ 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% —
ТМ 3.5 1.28 78.1% — —
ТМ 4.5 1.09 91.7% — —
Match center
Udinese
Founded 1896
Como
Founded 1907
Match center
Udinese
NZ N. Zaniolo Injury
KD K. Davis Yellow Cards
Como
JA J. Addai Achilles Tendon Injury
JR Jacobo Ramón Naveros Muscle Injury
Udinese Founded: 1896
Como Founded: 1907
Match center
Udinese
W L D W L
20.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 GenoaGenoa
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 JuventusJuventus
07.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:2 AtalantaAtalanta
02.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
23.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Como
W W W W W
22.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
Como 5:0 PisaPisa
15.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
07.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:1 CagliariCagliari
28.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 LecceLecce
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 JuventusJuventus
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Como

Udinese
2 matches total
Como
Udinese: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Como 0:1 (03.01 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 03.01 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese
0:1
Como
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese
1:0
Como
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.