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Serie A
Serie A Italy
17.05.2026 18:45 UTC 37 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Cremonese

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
0 : 1
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Cremonese May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.14 / 2 3.07
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 38.9% / X 30.2% / Cremonese 30.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 39.0%
X 30.2%
2 30.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Udinese

Main outcome Udinese
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 40.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Blyuenerdzhi (Udine, Italy), vmestimost: 25952
Referee Dzhanluka Manganello (Pinerolo)
Start 17.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Cremonese

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Udineze - Kremoneze, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 37 round. Udineze - Kremoneze, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 17
Statistics 22
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
9' 9' Normal Goal | J. Vardy Jamie Vardy Cremonese
27' 27' Penalty cancelled | C. Kabasele Christian Kabasele Udinese
46' 46' Substitution 1 | C. Kabasele | assist/sub out: N. Bertola Christian Kabasele Udinese
51' 51' Yellow Card | F. Bonazzoli Federico Bonazzoli Cremonese
55' 55' Yellow Card | T. Barbieri Tommaso Barbieri Cremonese
60' 60' Substitution 2 | J. Arizala | assist/sub out: J. Zemura J. Arizala Udinese
60' 60' Substitution 1 | T. Barbieri | assist/sub out: R. Floriani Tommaso Barbieri Cremonese
60' 60' Substitution 2 | F. Bonazzoli | assist/sub out: D. Okereke Federico Bonazzoli Cremonese
Metric Udinese Cremonese SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.35 0.45 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 1 final
Shots off target 6 2 final
Shots on target 2 4 final
Udary vsego 10 7 final
Fouls soversheno 10 9 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
Offsides 4 5 final
Udinese #9 Keinan Davis, #11 H. Kamara, #28 Oumar Solet, #40 Maduka Okoye, #14 Arthur Atta, #18 Adam Buksa, #27 Christian Kabasele, #8 Jesper Karlström, #31 Thomas Kristensen, #38 L. Miller, #20 J. Arizala
Cremonese #1 Emil Audero, #3 Giuseppe Pezzella, #5 Sebastiano Luperto, #10 Jamie Vardy, #15 Matteo Bianchetti, #29 Youssef Maleh, #90 Federico Bonazzoli, #24 Filippo Terracciano, #33 Alberto Grassi, #2 M. Thorsby, #4 Tommaso Barbieri
Player Team Metric SStats
Alberto Grassi Cremonese football.player.assists 0
Alberto Grassi Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 90
David Okereke Cremonese football.player.assists 0
David Okereke Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 30
Emil Audero Cremonese football.player.assists 0
Emil Audero Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 90
Federico Bonazzoli Cremonese football.player.assists 0
Federico Bonazzoli Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 60
Filippo Terracciano Cremonese football.player.assists 0
Filippo Terracciano Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 90
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.36 42.4% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4% 1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.0 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.25 1.97 50.8%
Over 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 3.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Udinese

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Cremonese

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Alessandro Dzanoli Travmirovannye Federiko Baskirotto Diskvalifitsirovannye Kingsli Ekhizibue CHAMP
Match center
Udinese
W W D L W
09.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 CagliariCagliari
02.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 TorinoTorino
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:3 LazioLazio
18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 ParmaParma
11.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:0 AC MilanAC Milan
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Cremonese
W L L D L
10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:0 PisaPisa
04.05 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 LazioLazio
24.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:4 NapoliNapoli
19.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 TorinoTorino
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 CagliariCagliari
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Cremonese

Udinese
1 matches total
Cremonese
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Cremonese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese
1:1
Cremonese
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Udinese
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Cremonese
Udinese Team comparison Cremonese
36 Games 36
14 Wins 7
8 Draws 10
14 Losses 19
45 Scored 30
46 Conceded 53
50 Points 31
87.97 Attacks 98.03
38.4 Dangerous attacks 35.55
0 Big chances 0
11.56 Shots on goal 9
3.92 Shots on target 3.33
eniya 1.83 0.03 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Dzheymi Vardi 0:1 9' Nakazaniya Federiko Bonatstsoli 51' Tommazo Barberi 55' Khassan Kamara 67' Alberto Grassi 90+1' VAR Sebastyano Luperto 26'

Udineze Kremoneze 36 Games 36 14 Wins 7 8 Draws 10 14 Losses 19 45 Scored 30 46 Conceded 53 50 Points 31 87.97 Attacks 98.03 38.4 Dangerous attacks 35.55 0 Big chances 0 11.56 Shots on goal 9 3.92 Udary v stvor 3.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.5 Uglovye 3.53 1.47 Offsaydy 1.5 13.67 Foly 13.61 45.42 % vladeniya myachom 46.83 1.89 Warnings 1.83 0.03 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Dzheymi Vardi 0:1 9' Nakazaniya Federiko Bonatstsoli 51' Tommazo Barberi 55' Khassan Kamara 67' Alberto Grassi 90+1' VAR Sebastyano Luperto 26'