PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
02.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
02.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Fiorentina

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
3 : 0
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Fiorentina March 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.24 / X 3.07 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 29.2% / X 30.8% / Fiorentina 40.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 29.2%
X 30.8%
2 39.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 02.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 3.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.36 29.8%
X 3.13 32.0%
2.43 41.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.22 31.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.32 43.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.46 40.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Udinese
L L L W W
23.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 BolognaBologna
15.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
08.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 LecceLecce
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
26.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Fiorentina
W W D L L
23.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 PisaPisa
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 ComoComo
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 TorinoTorino
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 NapoliNapoli
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Fiorentina

Udinese
2 matches total
Fiorentina
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fiorentina: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Fiorentina 1:5 (21.12 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 21.12 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 8
8 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese
1:5
Fiorentina
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese
2:3
Fiorentina