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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
08.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Genoa

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 2
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Genoa December 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 2.85 / 2 3.19
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 36.9% / X 33.3% / Genoa 29.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 36.8%
X 33.4%
2 29.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Under 2.5 66.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · line only
X 2.86 market consensus · line only
1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.65 37.7%
X 2.90 34.5%
3.27 30.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.54 39.4% 2.61 38.3% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%
X 2.82 35.5% 2.87 34.8% 2.95 33.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.82 35.5%
3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.31 30.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Udinese
W L L W L
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 ParmaParma
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 BolognaBologna
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
01.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Genoa
W D D W L
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:3 CagliariCagliari
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Genoa

Udinese
1 matches total
Genoa
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Genoa 0:1 (04.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 04.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese
0:1
Genoa