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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.09.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
28.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Inter

Italy Futbol
Udinese
Udinese
2 : 3
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Inter 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.73 / X 4.62 / 2 1.46
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 12.6% / X 21.0% / Inter 66.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 12.6%
X 21.0%
2 66.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Inter

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · line only
X 4.62 market consensus · line only
1 7.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.73 12.9%
Х 4.62 21.7%
П2 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.92 34.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.18 45.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.06 16.5%
П2 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Udinese
L W W
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 ParmaParma
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 ComoComo
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points
Inter
L D
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 Monza
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Inter

Udinese
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history