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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
27.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Lazio

Italy Football
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Lazio December 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 2.94 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 31.0% / X 32.3% / Lazio 36.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 31.0%
X 32.3%
2 36.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 36.6%
Under 2.5 63.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 2.94 market consensus · line only
1 3.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.16 31.7%
X 3.01 33.2%
2.65 37.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.17 31.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.52 39.7% 2.61 38.3% 2.69 37.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Udinese
L W L W L
21.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:5 FiorentinaFiorentina
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 NapoliNapoli
08.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 GenoaGenoa
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 ParmaParma
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Lazio
D W D L W
20.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
13.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 ParmaParma
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 BolognaBologna
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 LecceLecce
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Lazio

Udinese
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history