Serie A
Serie A Italy
05.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Udinese - Lecce

Italy Futbol
Udinese
Udinese
1 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Lecce 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Line favourite market consensus: Udinese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.68 / X 2.99 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Udinese 36.3% / X 32.6% / Lecce 31.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 36.3%
X 32.6%
2 31.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 40.2%
Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Udinese - Lecce

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.68 37.3%
Х 2.99 33.4%
П2 3.13 32.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.41 41.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.78 56.2%
П2 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Udinese
L L W W
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 InterInter
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 ParmaParma
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 ComoComo
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Lecce
L D D
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:2 ParmaParma
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 TorinoTorino
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Lecce

Udinese
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history