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Serie A Italy

35 round 02.05.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

02.05.2026 13:00 UTC 35 round

Finished

Serie A

Udinese - Torino

Italy Football

Stadium Friuli

Referee G. Mucera

Udinese

2 : 0

Finished

Torino

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Udinese — 40%

1 · Udinese39.5%

X · draw29.0%

2 · Torino31.5%

Model estimate: win Udinese 39.5%, draw 29.0%, win Torino 31.5%. Model favourite — Udinese.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udinese - Torino May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udinese.

Strongest: Udinese - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.26 / 2 3.87
1X2 market: Udinese 46.6% / X 29.0% / Torino 24.5%
Glicko: Udinese 39.5% / X 29.0% / Torino 31.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 78.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 46.6%

X 29.0%

2 24.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%

Over 2.5 44.2%

Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 3/4

Confidence 42.0%

Total Over 2.5

Score 2:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center

Stadium Blyuenerdzhi (Udine, Italy), 23 278 zriteley (90% pri vmestimosti 25 952)

Referee Dzhuzeppe Muchera

Start 02.05.2026 13:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Udinese 40%

💹 Market Udinese 4655%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Udinese - Torino

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Udineze - Torino, 2 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 35 round. Udineze - Torino, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

7/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:0

Events 14

Statistics 24

Lineups 44

min Event Player Team

22' 22' Goal Disallowed - offside | N. Zaniolo N. Zaniolo Udinese

45+1' 45+1' Normal Goal | K. Ehizibue Kingsley Ehizibue Udinese

46' 46' Yellow Card | C. Kabasele Christian Kabasele Udinese

49' 49' Yellow Card | R. Obrador Rafael Obrador Torino

51' 51' Normal Goal | T. Kristensen | assist/sub out: L. Miller Thomas Kristensen Udinese

57' 57' Substitution 1 | E. İlkhan | assist/sub out: S. Kulenovic E. İlkhan Torino

57' 57' Substitution 2 | C. Casadei | assist/sub out: M. Prati C. Casadei Torino

65' 65' Substitution 3 | R. Obrador | assist/sub out: C. Biraghi Rafael Obrador Torino

Metric Udinese Torino SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2 0.83 final

Zablokirovannye udary 7 3 final

Shots off target 4 5 final

Shots on target 8 1 final

Udary vsego 19 9 final

Fouls soversheno 11 18 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final

Offsides 2 2 final

Udinese #11 H. Kamara, #18 Adam Buksa, #28 Oumar Solet, #32 J. Ekkelenkamp, #40 Maduka Okoye, #10 N. Zaniolo, #14 Arthur Atta, #27 Christian Kabasele, #31 Thomas Kristensen, #38 L. Miller, #19 Kingsley Ehizibue

Torino #1 A. Paleari, #10 N. Vlasic, #18 G. Simeone, #33 Rafael Obrador, #77 E. Ebosse, #23 Saúl Coco, #66 G. Gineitis, #6 E. İlkhan, #35 Luca Marianucci, #22 C. Casadei, #20 V. Lazaro

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Nunziante Udinese Seyvy 0

Abdoulaye Camara Udinese Seyvy 0

Adam Buksa Udinese Dribling popytki 6

Adam Buksa Udinese Edinoborstva vsego 1

Adam Buksa Udinese Edinoborstva vyigrano 8

Adam Buksa Udinese Fouls soversheno 3

Adam Buksa Udinese Seyvy 0

Adam Buksa Udinese football.player.minutes_played 70

Adam Buksa Udinese Tochnost pasov % 2

Adam Buksa Udinese Klyuchevye pasy 9

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Udinese 42.8% 39.5% market and model agree

Draw 29.3% 29.0% draw risk

Torino 27.9% 31.5%

xG - 1.18 : 1.02

Total 2.5 Over 78.0% - Under 22.0%

Model check - - Difference 0.04

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 39.5% / 29.0% / 31.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,521 / 1,494 Udinese / Torino

RD 71 / 71 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.87 market consensus · no value · model 31.5%

X 3.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 39.5%

Double chance

X2 1.77 market consensus · value +7.1% · model 60.5%

12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 71.0%

1X 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 68.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.74 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.28 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · weak value +67.7% · model 78.0%

Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 22.0%

Both teams to score

No 1.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.00 50.0%	2.12 47.2%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.20 31.3%
	3.80 26.3%	4.01 24.9%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.85 54.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.87 53.5%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.77 56.5%	1.81 55.3%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5	1.38 72.5%	1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 2.0	—	1.60 62.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.96 51.0%
Over 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Over 3.5	3.85 26.0%	—
Over 4.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Under 2.5	1.70 58.8%	—
Under 3.5	1.25 80.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.07 93.5%	—

Match center

Udinese

Founded 1896

Torino

Founded 1906

Match center

Udinese

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Torino

ZS Zannetos Savva Jumpers knee

Alessandro Dzanoli Kinan Devis Dzhordan Zemura Nikolo Bertola Travmirovannye Zakariya Abukhlyal Faustino Andzhorin Saba Sazonov Ardian Ismayli Che Adams Markus Pedersen Duvan Sapata

Udinese Founded: 1896

Torino Founded: 1906

Match center

Udinese

D L W D W

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Udinese 3:3 Lazio

18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Udinese 0:1 Parma

11.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Udinese 3:0 AC Milan

06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Udinese 0:0 Como

20.03 19:45 UTC Serie A

Udinese 2:0 Genoa

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Torino

D D W W L

26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:2 Inter

19.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Torino 0:0 Cremonese

11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:1 Hellas Verona

05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 1:0 Pisa

21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:3 AC Milan

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUdinese - Torino

Udinese

2 matches total

Torino

Udinese: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Torino: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Torino 0:2 (23.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 07.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

07.01 19:45 UTC

Serie A

Udinese

2:1

Torino

23.04 16:30 UTC

Serie A

Udinese

0:2

Torino

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Udinese

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Torino

34 Games 34

12 Wins 11

8 Draws 8

14 Losses 15

41 Scored 39

46 Conceded 56

44 Points 41

88.21 Attacks 89.52

38.67 Dangerous attacks 39.55

0 Big chances 0

11.41 Shots on goal 11.32

3.74 Shots on target 4.06

1.91 0.03 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Kingsli Ekhizibue 1:0 45+1' Tomas Kristensen Lennon Miller 2:0 51' Nakazaniya Kristian Kabazel 47' Rafa Obrador 49' VAR Nikolo Dzanolo 22'

Udineze Torino 34 Games 34 12 Wins 11 8 Draws 8 14 Losses 15 41 Scored 39 46 Conceded 56 44 Points 41 88.21 Attacks 89.52 38.67 Dangerous attacks 39.55 0 Big chances 0 11.41 Shots on goal 11.32 3.74 Udary v stvor 4.06 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.5 Uglovye 3.82 1.41 Offsaydy 1.76 13.76 Foly 13.88 45.41 % vladeniya myachom 43.62 1.91 Warnings 1.91 0.03 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Kingsli Ekhizibue 1:0 45+1' Tomas Kristensen Lennon Miller 2:0 51' Nakazaniya Kristian Kabazel 47' Rafa Obrador 49' VAR Nikolo Dzanolo 22'