Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Venezia - AC Milan

Italy Futbol
Venezia
Venezia
0 : 2
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venezia - AC Milan 27 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.96 / X 4.25 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: Venezia 19.5% / X 22.8% / AC Milan 57.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 19.5%
X 22.8%
2 57.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Match center

Venezia - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 4.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.96 20.2%
Х 4.25 23.5%
П2 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.27 44.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.82 26.2%
П2 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Venezia
D W D W D
20.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:2 Empoli
12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:0 Monza
06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:1 LecceLecce
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Venezia 3:2 UdineseUdinese
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:2 Monza
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
AC Milan
L W D L W
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 UdineseUdinese
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:2 NapoliNapoli
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 UdineseUdinese
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVenezia - AC Milan

Venezia
1 matches total
AC Milan
Venezia: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AC Milan: 1 (100%)
Biggest win AC Milan 0:4 (14.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 14.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia
0:4
AC Milan