Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Venezia - Atalanta

Italy Futbol
Venezia
Venezia
0 : 2
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venezia - Atalanta 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.54 / X 4.68 / 2 1.50
  • 1X2 market: Venezia 14.8% / X 20.7% / Atalanta 64.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 14.8%
X 20.7%
2 64.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 60.8%
Under 2.5 39.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Venezia - Atalanta

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.68 market consensus · line only
1 6.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.54 15.3%
Х 4.68 21.4%
П2 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.76 36.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.59 62.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.47 40.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.17 19.3%
П2 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Venezia
L L W L
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:0 GenoaGenoa
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia 0:4 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Atalanta
W D L W
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 5:1 GenoaGenoa
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 BolognaBologna
24.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 ComoComo
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVenezia - Atalanta

Venezia
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history