AI verdict

AI pick Como win probability ~55% best odds 1.77

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Como. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
10.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Cagliari

Italy Football
Como
Como
3 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Como face Cagliari on May 10, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Como 5-0-0, Cagliari 1-1-3. The bookmaker line makes Como the favourite at about 55%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Como or draw 1.22

Model confidence 80% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Cagliari May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.85 / 2 4.75
  • 1X2 market: Como 54.6% / X 25.1% / Cagliari 20.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 54.6%
X 25.1%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 54.6% @ 1.77 / X 25.1% @ 3.85 / 2 20.3% @ 4.75
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Match center

Como - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.77 56.5%
X 3.85 26.0%
4.75 21.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.14 46.7%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.5 2.04 49.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.57 28.0%
Match center
Como
W W W W W
03.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
27.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
19.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 3:0 LechcheLechche
13.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:0 TorinoTorino
05.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 3:1 MontsaMontsa
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points
Cagliari
L W L L D
03.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:2 UdinezeUdineze
28.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
12.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:3 InterInter
06.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 0:0 Empoli
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Como - Cagliari

Como
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Como vs Cagliari start?

May 10, 2025.