AI verdict

AI pick Empoli win probability ~42% best odds 2.31

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Empoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli vs Venezia — Football prediction

Italy Football
Empoli
Empoli
2 : 2
Finished
Venezia
Venezia

Empoli face Venezia on April 20, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Empoli 0-2-2, Venezia 2-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Empoli, an implied 42% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Venezia April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Empoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Empoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.06 / 2 3.66
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 41.9% / X 31.6% / Venezia 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 41.9%
X 31.6%
2 26.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 39.8%
Under 2.5 60.2%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 41.9% @ 2.31 / X 31.6% @ 3.06 / 2 26.5% @ 3.66
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Match center

Empoli - Venezia

Form 4/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.31 43.3%
X 3.06 32.7%
3.66 27.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.44 41.0%
Under 2.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
2.50 40.0%
Match center
Empoli
L D L D
14.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 NapoliNapoli
06.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:0 KalyariKalyari
30.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 InterInter
27.10 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 1:1 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Venezia
W D W L
12.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Venezia 1:0 MontsaMontsa
06.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Venezia 1:1 LechcheLechche
30.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Venezia 3:2 UdinezeUdineze
20.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Venezia 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Empoli - Venezia

Empoli
0 matches total
Venezia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Empoli vs Venezia?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Empoli. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Empoli vs Venezia?

Live odds for Empoli vs Venezia from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Empoli vs Venezia start?

April 20, 2025.