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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff

Colombia U21 - Venezuela U21

Football
Colombia U21
Colombia U21
0 : 0
Finished
Venezuela U21
Venezuela U21

Colombia U21 face Venezuela U21 on August 5, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff.

Recent form (W-D-L): Colombia U21 2-3-0, Venezuela U21 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Colombia U21 — 49%

1 · Colombia U2148.8%
X · draw20.2%
2 · Venezuela U2131.0%

Model estimate: win Colombia U21 48.8%, draw 20.2%, win Venezuela U21 31.0%. Model favourite — Colombia U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colombia U21 (odds1.58) Score 1:0 Under 3 (odds1.70) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Colombia U21: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 3 (odds 1.70).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colombia U21 - Venezuela U21 August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Colombia U21 48.8% / X 20.2% / Venezuela U21 31.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 18.2%
1 2.9%
X 20.2%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.58 ↑ 29.00
1X2 X 3.30 ↑ 4.20
1X2 2 5.70 ↓ 1.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Colombia U21 2 : 1 Venezuela U21
11.68
X4.10
24.27

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 21:29 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 25%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-1
Claude updated05.08.2026 21:33 UTC
1 44% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 29%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Colombia ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya), 71%, spravedlivyy kef 1.41

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 42% 33% 25% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Claude 44% 27% 29% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Colombia ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya), 71%, spravedlivyy kef 1.41

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Colombia U21 43%
📐 Math model Colombia U21 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Colombia U21 - Venezuela U21

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.598
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.971 / LogLoss 1.598
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colombia U21 2.9% 48.8% Glicko contrarian
Draw 20.2% 20.2% draw risk
Venezuela U21 76.9% 31.0% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.8% / 20.2% / 31.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,551 / 1,613 Colombia U21 / Venezuela U21
RD 225 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,100-2,002 / 1,176-2,050 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.0%
X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.18 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.8%
1X 5.40 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 69.0%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.17 85.5%
yes 4.20 23.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8%
1x 5.40 18.5%
x2 1.08 92.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.23 81.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
11.00 9.1%
10.00 10.0%
4.40 22.7%
12.00 8.3%
9.50 10.5%
1.30 76.9%
3.60 27.8%
10.50 9.5%
7.80 12.8%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.15 87.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
3.10 32.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 1 6.60 15.2%
Over 1.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 2 8.50 11.8%
Over 2.5 4.30 23.3%
Over 3 1.95 51.3%
Over 3.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 4 3.85 26.0%
Over 4.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 0.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 1 1.06 94.3%
Under 1.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 3 1.75 57.1%
Under 3.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 4 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.16 86.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 1.0 gls
2026-08-06 · Colombia U21 0:1 Venezuela U21
Source: ruscore
Colombia U21
D W W D D
2026-08-03 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Colombia U21 Costa Rica U21 1:1 Colombia U21
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Colombia U21 Colombia U21 1:0 Cuba U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Colombia U21 Panama U21 0:1 Colombia U21
2014-05-30 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group B
Colombia U21 England U20 1:1 Colombia U21
2014-05-28 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group B
Colombia U21 Colombia U21 1:1 Qatar U20
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Venezuela U21
W W L L W
2026-08-03 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Dominican Republic U21 2:3 Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Venezuela U21 3:1 Guatemala U21 Venezuela U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Mexico U21 1:0 Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21
2018-08-01 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Colombia U20 2:1 Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21
2018-07-28 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Venezuela U21 1:0 Honduras Venezuela U21
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points