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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
05.08.2026 19:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff

Mexico U21 - Panama U21

Football
Mexico U21
Mexico U21
- : -
Not started
Panama U21
Panama U21

Mexico U21 face Panama U21 on August 5, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Panama U21 — 48%

1 · Mexico U2131.3%
X · draw20.3%
2 · Panama U2148.4%

Model estimate: win Mexico U21 31.3%, draw 20.3%, win Panama U21 48.4%. Model favourite — Panama U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Panama U21 (odds5.40) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Panama U21: probability 50% vs 19% on the line (odds 5.40)
  • • edge over the line +31 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U21 - Panama U21 August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.10 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8% 2 books · best price +1.0%
1 60.9%
X 22.2%
2 16.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico U21 1 : 2 Panama U21
11.45
X4.60
25.42

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 60.9% @ 1.51 / X 22.4% @ 4.10 / 2 16.7% @ 5.50
Match center

Mexico U21 - Panama U21

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U21 60.8% 31.3% market favourite
Draw 22.3% 20.3% draw risk
Panama U21 16.9% 48.4% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.3% / 20.3% / 48.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,508 / 1,659 Mexico U21 / Panama U21
RD 250 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,009-2,007 / 1,218-2,099 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.4%
X 4.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.50 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.3%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.7%
1X 1.09 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.6%
X2 2.27 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.27 44.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.99 50.3%
X 2.28 43.9%
5.90 17.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.08 48.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mexico U21WDW
Panama U21WW
Source: ruscore
Mexico U21
W D D
03.08 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Mexico U21 1:0 Gvatemala U21Gvatemala U21
01.08 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Mexico U21 1:1 Dominican Republic U21Dominican Republic U21
30.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Mexico U21 0:0 Venezuela U21Venezuela U21
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points
Panama U21
W W D
03.08 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Panama U21 1:0 Cuba U21Cuba U21
01.08 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Panama U21 2:0 Costa Rica U21Costa Rica U21
30.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Panama U21 0:0 Colombia U21Colombia U21
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U21 - Panama U21

Mexico U21
0 matches total
Panama U21
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history