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30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Group stage
Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21
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:
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Not started
C
Costa Rica U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Costa Rica U21 — 51%
Model estimate: win Cuba U21 29.4%, draw 19.4%, win Costa Rica U21 51.2%. Model favourite — Costa Rica U21.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Costa Rica U21 (odds1.95)
Score 1:2
confidence 51%
- • Model backs Costa Rica U23: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21 July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Costa Rica U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.15 / X 3.80 / 2 1.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.0%
1
21.7%
X
23.7%
2
54.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Cuba U21
0
:
0
Costa Rica U21
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Cuba U21
-
29.4%
Draw
-
19.4%
draw risk
Costa Rica U21
-
51.2%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
29.4% / 19.4% / 51.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,400 / 1,600
Cuba U21 / Costa Rica U21
RD
297 / 297
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
806-1,995 / 1,005-2,194
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.65
Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%
X
3.80
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.15
Fonbet · no value · model 29.4%
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
1X
1.98
Fonbet · no value · model 48.8%
X2
1.15
Fonbet · no value · model 70.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.10
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% |
| x2 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | 1.42 70.4% | |
| — | 1.17 85.5% | |
| — | 1.12 89.3% | |
| — | 6.80 14.7% | |
| — | 7.80 12.8% | |
| — | 3.10 32.3% | |
| — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | 2.65 37.7% | |
| — | 4.20 23.8% | |
| — | 4.90 20.4% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 1.06 94.3% | |
| — | 1.05 95.2% | |
| — | 1.30 76.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2 | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 3 | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 4 | — | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 0.5 | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 1 | — | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | — | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 2 | — | 3.40 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 3 | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 3.5 | — | 1.47 68.0% |
Match center
Cuba U21
L
Cuba U21
0:1
Costa Rica U23
Costa Rica U23
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Costa Rica U21
W
Costa Rica U21
1:0
Cuba U23
Cuba U23
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCuba U21 - Costa Rica U21
Cuba U21
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Cuba U21 - Costa Rica U21 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form