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Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage

Mexico U21 - Guatemala U21

Football
Mexico U21
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Finished
Guatemala U21
Guatemala U21

Mexico U21 take on Guatemala U21 on August 3, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mexico U21 0-2-0, Guatemala U21 0-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico U21 — 58%

1 · Mexico U21 ✓ Pick57.9%
X · draw19.2%
2 · Guatemala U2122.9%

Model estimate: win Mexico U21 57.9%, draw 19.2%, win Guatemala U21 22.9%. Model favourite — Mexico U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico U21 (odds1.94) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Mexico U21: probability 51% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U21 - Guatemala U21 August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Mexico U21 57.9% / X 19.2% / Guatemala U21 22.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 ✓ Pick 84.0%
X 12.9%
2 3.2%

Odds source: Baltbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CAC Games
League table
Mexico U21
#34 ptsGP 21-1-02:1
Guatemala U21
#70 ptsGP 20-0-21:4
Best price across 4 books
1 1.11 Bet365
X 9.90 Marathonbet
2 29.00 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico U21 3 : 1 Guatemala U21
11.06
X10.20
230.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico U21 - Guatemala U21

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 57.9% fact: home hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.267 / LogLoss 0.547
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 57.9% fact: home hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.267 / LogLoss 0.547
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U21 84.0% 57.9% market and model agree
Draw 12.9% 19.2% draw risk
Guatemala U21 3.2% 22.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 57.9% / 19.2% / 22.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,508 / 1,368 Mexico U21 / Guatemala U21
RD 249 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,009-2,007 / 869-1,867 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 57.9%
Double chance
12 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 80.8%
X2 5.70 market consensus · no value · model 42.1%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.05 95.2%
x2 5.70 17.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet
1.84 54.4%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet
Over 3.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet
1.09 91.7%
X 7.10 14.1%
29.00 3.5%
Match center
Mexico U21
D D
01.08 23:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Mexico U21 1:1 Dominican Republic U21
30.07 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Mexico U21 0:0 Venezuela U21
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Guatemala U21
L D
01.08 20:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Guatemala U21 1:3 Venezuela U21
30.07 23:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
Guatemala U21 0:0 Dominican Republic U21
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U21 - Guatemala U21

Mexico U21
0 matches total
Guatemala U21
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history