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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
29.07.2026 18:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings

Mexico U23 - Venezuela U23

Football
Mexico U23
Mexico U23
- : -
Not started
Venezuela U23
Venezuela U23
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico U2352%

1 · Mexico U2352.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Venezuela U2328.5%

Model estimate: win Mexico U23 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Venezuela U23 28.5%. Model favourite — Mexico U23.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico U23 (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • Model backs Mexico U23: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U23 - Venezuela U23 July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico U23. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.36 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 61.6%
X 20.9%
2 17.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico U23 - Venezuela U23

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U23 - 52.1% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Venezuela U23 - 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Mexico U23 / Venezuela U23
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%
X 4.36 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 52.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.61 62.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.98 50.5%
X 2.42 41.3%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U23 - Venezuela U23

Mexico U23
0 matches total
Venezuela U23
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history