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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff

Mexico (w) - El Salvador (w)

Football
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
- : -
Not started
E
El Salvador (w)

Mexico (w) face El Salvador (w) on August 3, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mexico (w) — 58%

1 · Mexico (w)58.0%
X · draw19.9%
2 · El Salvador (w)22.0%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 58.0%, draw 19.9%, win El Salvador (w) 22.0%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds2.03) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.03)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - El Salvador (w) August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico (w) - El Salvador (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) - 58.0% model pick
Draw - 19.9% draw risk
El Salvador (w) - 22.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.0% / 19.9% / 22.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,735 / 1,661 Mexico (w) / El Salvador (w)
RD 219 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,298-2,173 / 1,280-2,043 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Mexico (w)
W W D L W
02.08 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
Mexico (w) 7:0 Jamaica (Zh)Jamaica (Zh)
31.07 23:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Mexico (w) 1:0 Colombia (Zh)Colombia (Zh)
29.07 21:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
Mexico (w) 1:1 Puerto-Riko (Zh)
09.06 07:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Mexico (w) 1:3 Australia (Zh)Australia (Zh)
06.06 07:15 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Mexico (w) 1:0 Australia (Zh)Australia (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
El Salvador (w)
W L W W D
02.08 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
El Salvador (w) 1:0 Costa Rica (Zh)Costa Rica (Zh)
31.07 20:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
El Salvador (w) 0:2 Venezuela (Zh)Venezuela (Zh)
29.07 21:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
El Salvador (w) 1:0 Dominican Republic (Zh)
09.06 19:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
El Salvador (w) 5:1 Gvatemala (Zh)Gvatemala (Zh)
06.06 00:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
El Salvador (w) 1:1 Costa Rica (Zh)Costa Rica (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points