North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff
Venezuela (w) - Colombia (w)
Venezuela (w) take on Colombia (w) on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women - Playoff.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Colombia (w) — 54%
Pure model vs market (2 · Colombia (w)): model 30% · market 56% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Venezuela (w) 20.7%, draw 25.1%, win Colombia (w) 54.2%. Model favourite — Colombia (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Venezuela (Zh): probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.24)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Venezuela (w) - Colombia (w) August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.70 / X 3.63 / 2 1.64
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Venezuela (w) - Colombia (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 2.03 49.3% | 2.14 46.7% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| X | 2.02 49.5% |
| 2.11 47.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.40 71.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betcity | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| Liga Stavok | 6 | 3.6 | 1.55 |
Venezuela (w)
Salvador (Zh)
Costa Rica (Zh)
Uruguay (Zh)
Colombia (w)
Mexico (Zh)
Jamaica (Zh)
Paraguay (Zh)
Uruguay (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyVenezuela (w) - Colombia (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Venezuela (w) - Colombia (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form