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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 20:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff

Costa Rica U20 - Haiti U20

Football
Costa Rica U20
Costa Rica U20
- : -
Not started
Haiti U20
Haiti U20

Costa Rica U20 take on Haiti U20 on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff.

Sportsbooks lean towards Costa Rica U20, an implied 48% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Costa Rica U2047%

Pure model vs market (1 · Costa Rica U20): model 34% · market 48% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Costa Rica U2047.0%
X · draw27.1%
2 · Haiti U2026.0%

Model estimate: win Costa Rica U20 47.0%, draw 27.1%, win Haiti U20 26.0%. Model favourite — Costa Rica U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Haiti U20 (odds2.37) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Haiti U20: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Costa Rica U20 - Haiti U20 August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Costa Rica U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Costa Rica U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.34 / 2 3.68
  • 1X2 market: Costa Rica U20 47.7% / X 27.4% / Haiti U20 24.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 9 books · best price +3.1%
1 47.8%
X 27.3%
2 24.8%

Odds source: consensus of 9 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, Betfair, Dafabet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.85 ↑ 1.87
1X2 X 3.30 → 3.30
1X2 P2 3.75 ↓ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
League table
Costa Rica U20
#36 ptsGP 32-0-15:3
Haiti U20
#46 ptsGP 32-0-15:6
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Costa Rica U20
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.04 xG 1.42 xGA 1.50
Haiti U20
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.47 Conceded 2.41 xG 1.48 xGA 2.49

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Costa Rica U20 3 : 1 Haiti U20
11.97
X3.40
23.69

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 47.7% @ 1.92 / X 27.4% @ 3.34 / 2 24.9% @ 3.68
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Costa Rica U20 47%
💹 Market Costa Rica U20 4768%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Costa Rica U20 - Haiti U20

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Costa Rica U20 47.8% 47.0% market and model agree
Draw 27.3% 27.1% draw risk
Haiti U20 24.8% 26.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.0% / 27.1% / 26.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,468 / 1,681 Costa Rica U20 / Haiti U20
RD 230 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,008-1,928 / 1,212-2,150 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 26.0%
X 3.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.87 Fonbet · no value · model 47.0%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.9%
1X 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 74.0%
X2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.68 27.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Costa Rica U20
W L W
30.07 22:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Costa Rica U20 4:1 Antigua i Barbuda U20
28.07 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Costa Rica U20 0:2 Mexico U20Mexico U20
24.07 18:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Costa Rica U20 1:0 Gvatemala U20Gvatemala U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Haiti U20
W W D
31.07 21:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Haiti U20 2:1 Salvador U20Salvador U20
28.07 19:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Haiti U20 3:2 Cuba U20Cuba U20
26.07 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Haiti U20 0:0 USA U20USA U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCosta Rica U20 - Haiti U20

Costa Rica U20
0 matches total
Haiti U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history