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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff
04.08.2026 01:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 01:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff

United States U20 - Guatemala U20

Football
United States U20
United States U20
- : -
Not started
Guatemala U20
Guatemala U20

United States U20 take on Guatemala U20 on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 United States U20 — 84%

1 · United States U20 ✓ Pick84.4%
X · draw12.2%
2 · Guatemala U203.4%

Model estimate: win United States U20 84.4%, draw 12.2%, win Guatemala U20 3.4%. Model favourite — United States U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1United States U20 (odds1.59) Score 2:0 confidence 63%
  • • Model backs USA U20: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction United States U20 - Guatemala U20 August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.06 ↓ 1.05
1X2 X 7.10 ↑ 7.50
1X2 P2 34.00 ↑ 50.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
League table
United States U20
#19 ptsGP 33-0-011:0
Guatemala U20
#83 ptsGP 31-0-24:5
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
United States U20
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 3.45 Conceded 0.14 xG 3.40 xGA 0.56
Guatemala U20
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.35 Conceded 1.62 xG 1.49 xGA 1.50

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

United States U20 - Guatemala U20

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
United States U20 86.2% 84.4% market and model agree
Draw 11.6% 12.2% draw risk
Guatemala U20 2.2% 3.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 84.4% / 12.2% / 3.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,756 / 1,491 USA U20 / Guatemala U20
RD 208 / 209 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,340-2,171 / 1,074-1,908 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 84.4%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 87.8%
X2 6.30 Fonbet · no value · model 15.6%
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
yes 4.00 25.0% 4.60 21.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
x2 6.10 16.4% 6.30 15.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.28 78.1%
X 3.35 29.9%
31.00 3.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.18 45.9%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center
United States U20
W W D W W
01.08 02:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
United States U20 5:0 Cuba U20Cuba U20
29.07 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
United States U20 3:0 Salvador U20Salvador U20
26.07 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
United States U20 0:0 Haiti U20Haiti U20
08.06 10:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
United States U20 2:0 North Macedonia U21North Macedonia U21
05.06 12:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
United States U20 1:0 Georgia U21Georgia U21
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.0 Conceded
13 Points
Guatemala U20
L W L D
30.07 23:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Guatemala U20 0:1 Mexico U20Mexico U20
27.07 21:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Guatemala U20 4:0 Antigua i Barbuda U20
24.07 18:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Guatemala U20 0:1 Costa Rica U20Costa Rica U20
27.06 14:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Guatemala U20 3:3 Salvador U20Salvador U20
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points