North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff
United States U20 - Guatemala U20
United States U20 take on Guatemala U20 on August 5, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) - Playoff.
The market favourite is United States U20 at roughly 89%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 United States U20 — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · United States U20): model 57% · market 86% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win United States U20 86.3%, draw 10.3%, win Guatemala U20 3.5%. Model favourite — United States U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs USA U20: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction United States U20 - Guatemala U20 August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like United States U20.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.05 / X 10.96 / 2 38.60
- 1X2 market: United States U20 88.8% / X 8.7% / Guatemala U20 2.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Dafabet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
CONCACAF U20Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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United States U20 - Guatemala U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.02 98.0% | |
| X | 13.00 7.7% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.50 9.5% | 8.80 11.4% | 13.00 7.7% |
| 48.00 2.1% | 29.00 3.5% | 41.00 2.4% | 27.00 3.7% | 48.00 2.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
| yes | 3.90 25.6% | 4.45 22.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 6.10 16.4% | 6.30 15.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 14.00 7.1% |
| 0_1 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_2 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_3 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_4 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_6 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_7 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_8 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_9 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_2 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_3 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_4 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
United States U20
Cuba U20
Salvador U20
Haiti U20
North Macedonia U21
Georgia U21
Guatemala U20
Mexico U20
Costa Rica U20
Salvador U20
Full head-to-head historyUnited States U20 - Guatemala U20
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form