Match center
Start
27.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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27.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished
CONCACAF Championship. U20. Group stage. Mexico
Antigua and Barbuda U20 - Guatemala U20
0
:
4
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Guatemala U20 — 66%
Pure model vs market (2 · Guatemala U20): model 46% · market 67% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Antigua and Barbuda U20 13.5%, draw 20.1%, win Guatemala U20 66.4%. Model favourite — Guatemala U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Antigua and Barbuda U20 (odds1.57)
Score 3:0
confidence 90%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Antigua i Barbuda U20: probability 90% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Antigua and Barbuda U20 - Guatemala U20 July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guatemala U20.
Strongest: Guatemala U20 - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.16 / X 4.58 / 2 1.36
- 1X2 market: Antigua and Barbuda U20 12.8% / X 20.0% / Guatemala U20 67.3%
- Glicko: Antigua and Barbuda U20 13.5% / X 20.1% / Guatemala U20 66.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.3%
1
12.8%
X
20.0%
2 ✓ Pick
67.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
7.80
↓ 7.20
1X2 X
4.40
↓ 4.30
1X2 2
1.32
↑ 1.35
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
CONCACAF U20
Best price
across 6 books
1
8.00
Betfair
X
5.00
Betfair
2
1.43
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Antigua and Barbuda U20
W-D-L 2-0-7
Scored 0.49
Conceded 2.72
xG 0.55
xGA 4.17
Guatemala U20
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.15
Conceded 1.35
xG 0.82
xGA 2.13
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Antigua and Barbuda U20
1
:
1
Guatemala U20
19.25
X5.05
21.26
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Guatemala U20 66%
💹 Market
Guatemala U20 6725%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Antigua and Barbuda U20 - Guatemala U20
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 66.4% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.172 / LogLoss 0.410
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 66.4% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.172 / LogLoss 0.410
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 66.4% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.172 / LogLoss 0.410
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 66.4% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.172 / LogLoss 0.410
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Antigua and Barbuda U20
12.3%
13.5%
Draw
20.0%
20.1%
draw risk
Guatemala U20
67.7%
66.4%
market and model agree
1X2: 10 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
13.5% / 20.1% / 66.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,181 / 1,417
Antigua and Barbuda U20 / Guatemala U20
RD
286 / 256
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
608-1,754 / 905-1,930
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 66.4%
X
4.55
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.06
market consensus · no value · model 13.5%
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 79.9%
1X
8.50
Fonbet · no value · model 33.6%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 86.5%
Handicap
2 +1
1.32
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
2.95
Fonbet · line only
1 0
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Yes
7.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.75 12.9% | 6.50 15.4% | 8.00 12.5% | 6.80 14.7% | 7.50 13.3% | 6.40 15.6% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.25 23.5% |
| 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.42 70.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.05 95.2% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 7.30 13.7% | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 2.83 35.3% | 8.50 11.8% |
| x2 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_2 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_3 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_4 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_5 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_6 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 0_7 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_8 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_9 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_4 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_5 | 34.00 2.9% |
Match center
Antigua and Barbuda U20
L
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0:3
Mexico U20
Mexico U20
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Guatemala U20
L
Guatemala U20
0:1
Costa Rica U20
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAntigua and Barbuda U20 - Guatemala U20
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Antigua and Barbuda U20 - Guatemala U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form