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CONCACAF Championship. U20. Group stage. Mexico
CONCACAF Championship. U20. Group stage. Mexico
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Championship. U20. Group stage. Mexico

El Salvador U20 - USA U20

Football
E
El Salvador U20
0 : 3
Finished
USA U20
USA U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 USA U20 — 71%

Pure model vs market (2 · USA U20): model 55% · market 61% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · El Salvador U2010.7%
market33%
X · draw18.4%
market6%
2 · USA U20 ✓ Pick70.9%
market61%

Model estimate: win El Salvador U20 10.7%, draw 18.4%, win USA U20 70.9%. Model favourite — USA U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2USA U20 (odds2.88) Score 0:2 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs USA U20: probability 62% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.88)
  • • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Salvador U20 - USA U20 July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like USA U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: USA U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.95 / X 10.00 / 2 1.04
  • Glicko: El Salvador U20 10.7% / X 18.4% / USA U20 70.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 57.4%
1 32.6%
X 6.4%
2 ✓ Pick 61.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
El Salvador U20
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.15 Conceded 2.20 xG 2.08 xGA 1.07
USA U20
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 3.31 Conceded 0.14 xG 3.66 xGA 0.74

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

El Salvador U20 1 : 3 USA U20
125.00
X12.00
21.01

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Participant opinions
12 predictions Choose an outcome
total_t1_under total_t1_over:0_5 2.10 (2) - total_t2_over:3_5 1.86 (2) - total_t1_under:0_5 1.62 (1)
handicap1 handicap2:-3 1.88 (1) - handicap1:3_5 1.53 (1) - handicap2:-3_5 2.27 (1)
Total TB 4.5 2.16 (1)
Correct score 0:5 8.90 (2)
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

El Salvador U20 - USA U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 12 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 70.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.130 / LogLoss 0.343
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 70.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.130 / LogLoss 0.343
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 70.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.130 / LogLoss 0.343
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 70.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.130 / LogLoss 0.343
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Salvador U20 9.8% 10.7%
Draw 18.3% 18.4% draw risk
USA U20 71.9% 70.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 10.7% / 18.4% / 70.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,208 / 1,666 El Salvador U20 / USA U20
RD 225 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 758-1,658 / 1,186-2,146 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 70.9%
X 10.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.95 market consensus · no value · model 10.7%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 81.6%
1X 7.30 Fonbet · no value · model 29.1%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 89.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 1.65 60.6%
yes 9.00 11.1% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 7.30 13.7%
x2 1.05 95.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
15.00 6.7%
X 3.94 25.4%
1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Match center
El Salvador U20
L
25.07 19:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
El Salvador U20 0:3 Cuba U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
USA U20
D
26.07 00:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
USA U20 0:0 Haiti U20Haiti U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEl Salvador U20 - USA U20

El Salvador U20
0 matches total
USA U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history