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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
05.08.2026 02:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 02:00 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings

Antigua GFC - Real Estelí

Football
A
Antigua GFC
- : -
Not started
R
Real Estelí

Antigua GFC face Real Estelí on August 5, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Antigua GFC — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Antigua GFC): model 39% · market 52% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Antigua GFC51.2%
X · draw26.2%
2 · Real Estelí22.5%

Model estimate: win Antigua GFC 51.2%, draw 26.2%, win Real Estelí 22.5%. Model favourite — Antigua GFC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Antigua GFC (odds2.11) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Antigua (Gva): probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Antigua GFC - Real Estelí August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Antigua GFC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.50 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books · best price +3.4%
1 52.0%
X 26.5%
2 21.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF Central American Cup
League table
Antigua GFC
#120 ptsGP 10-0-11:2
Real Estelí
not in table
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Antigua GFC
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.25 xG 0.83 xGA 1.62
Real Estelí
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.40 xG 0.97 xGA 1.27

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Antigua GFC
Rating 1578
Real Estelí
Rating 1607

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Antigua GFC 1 : 1 Real Estelí
11.84
X3.22
24.04

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 51.2% @ 1.84 / X 26.9% @ 3.50 / 2 21.9% @ 4.30
Match center

Antigua GFC - Real Estelí

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Antigua GFC 52.0% 51.2% market and model agree
Draw 26.5% 26.2% draw risk
Real Estelí 21.5% 22.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.2% / 26.2% / 22.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,500 Antigua (Gva) / Real Esteli (Nik)
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.19 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
X 3.42 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%
Double chance
12 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 73.8%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%
X2 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.97 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8%
x2 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.49 40.2%
X 1.99 50.3%
4.84 20.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.96 51.0%
Under 1 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Antigua GFC
L
30.07 00:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
Antigua GFC 1:2 Alyansa (Sal)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAntigua GFC - Real Estelí

Antigua GFC
0 matches total
Real Estelí
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history