CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
Diriangen Nicaragua meet Alajuelense on August 5, 2026 in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Diriangen Nicaragua 2-3-0, Alajuelense 3-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Alajuelense — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Alajuelense): model 30% · market 59% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Diriangen Nicaragua 20.2%, draw 22.5%, win Alajuelense 57.3%. Model favourite — Alajuelense.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
score 1:2 · 82'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 5.20 19.2% | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.11 90.1% | 1.61 62.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 5.30 18.9% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| X | 2.30 43.5% |
| 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 4.15 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
| Winline | 4.1 | 3.35 | 1.8 |
| Fonbet | 4.15 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
| Betcity | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.82 |
| Liga Stavok | 4.1 | 3.35 | 1.82 |
Diriangen Nicaragua
Full head-to-head historyDiriangen Nicaragua - Alajuelense
The Diriangen Nicaragua - Alajuelense breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
