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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Plaza Amador - Firpo

Football
Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador
1 : 0
Finished
F
Firpo

Plaza Amador go head-to-head with Firpo on August 5, 2026 in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Plaza Amador — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Plaza Amador): model 36% · market 58% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Plaza Amador56.6%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Firpo18.5%

Model estimate: win Plaza Amador 56.6%, draw 24.9%, win Firpo 18.5%. Model favourite — Plaza Amador.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Firpo (odds2.27) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Luis Ankhel Firpo (Sal): probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.27)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Plaza Amador - Firpo August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Plaza Amador.

Line favourite Fonbet: Plaza Amador. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 7.10 / 2 5.50
  • Glicko: Plaza Amador 56.6% / X 24.9% / Firpo 18.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 4 books
1 58.1%
X 25.1%
2 16.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF Central American Cup
League table
Plaza Amador
#140 ptsGP 10-0-12:4
Firpo
not in table
Best price across 10 books
1 1.73 Superbet
X 3.50 BetVictor
2 5.29 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Plaza Amador 2 : 1 Firpo
11.59
X3.44
25.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 74.0% @ 1.09 / X 11.4% @ 7.10 / 2 14.7% @ 5.50
Match center

Plaza Amador - Firpo

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Plaza Amador 57.9% 56.6% market and model agree
Draw 25.0% 24.9% draw risk
Firpo 17.1% 18.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.6% / 24.9% / 18.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,500 Plaza Amador / Luis Angel Firpo
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 760-1,924 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.43 market consensus · no value · model 18.5%
X 7.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 56.6%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 75.1%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 81.5%
X2 5.70 Fonbet · no value · model 43.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.11 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.18 84.8% 1.66 60.2%
yes 4.10 24.4% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 5.70 17.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.22 45.1%
X 2.01 49.8%
6.20 16.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.07 48.3%
Under 1 1.67 59.9%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.04 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.4 (Betcity) · 2 4.5 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.9 3.2 3.6
Winline 1.79 3.3 4.5
Fonbet 1.92 3.2 3.6
Betcity 1.95 3.4 3.6
Liga Stavok 2.04 3.2 3.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Plaza Amador
L
29.07 00:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
Plaza Amador 2:4 Diriangen (Nik)Diriangen (Nik)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPlaza Amador - Firpo

Plaza Amador
0 matches total
Firpo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history