Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.6%
2 books
1 ✓ Pick61.4%
X21.9%
216.8%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 12 books
11.67Unibet
X4.24Pinnacle
25.2010Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Club America4:1San Diego
11.01
X11.20
225.00
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 03:48 UTC
153%✓ favourite
X24%
223%
Score2:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-3
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 03:53 UTC
151%✓ favourite
X27%
222%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance 1X (Amerika ne proigraet) — 78%
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
53%
24%
23%
2:0
Under 2.5
No
1X and Under 2.5
Claude
51%
27%
22%
1:0
Under 3.5
No
Double chance 1X (Amerika ne proigraet) — 78%
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Club America61.4%60.6%market and model agree
Draw21.9%22.0%draw risk
San Diego16.8%17.5%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P260.6% / 22.0% / 17.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,629 / 1,535
Club America / San Diego
RD229 / 220
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,171-2,087 / 1,096-1,974
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
25.55
market consensus · no value · model 17.5%
X4.25
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.52
market consensus · no value · model 60.6%
Double chance
121.18
market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
1X1.11
market consensus · no value · model 82.5%
X22.38
market consensus · no value · model 39.4%
Handicap
2 +11.88
market consensus · line only
1 -11.86
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.59
market consensus · line only
Under 2.52.27
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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