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North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
07.08.2026 00:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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North American Leagues Cup. Group stage

Chicago Fire - Necaxa

Football
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
- : -
Not started
Necaxa
Necaxa

Chicago Fire go head-to-head with Necaxa on August 7, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago Fire 3-0-2, Necaxa 2-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chicago Fire — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chicago Fire): model 52% · market 55% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chicago Fire54.4%
X · draw23.4%
2 · Necaxa22.2%

Model estimate: win Chicago Fire 54.4%, draw 23.4%, win Necaxa 22.2%. Model favourite — Chicago Fire.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chicago Fire (odds2.28) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Chikago Fayr: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Fire - Necaxa August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chicago Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 4.00 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5% 2 books
1 54.6%
X 23.6%
2 21.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Leagues Cup
Best price across 12 books
1 1.80 Betano
X 4.10 Pinnacle
2 4.64 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chicago Fire
W-D-L 1-1-4 Scored 1.12 Conceded 1.92 Corners 4.4
Necaxa
W-D-L 2-1-5 Scored 1.44 Conceded 2.61 xG 1.32 xGA 2.19 Corners 6.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 02:05 UTC
1 54% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 21%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
Per AI data Form:VVP / PNV H2H: 0-0 Injuries:Mbokazi, Franco, Rosero Key:Lewandowski form
Claude updated04.08.2026 02:09 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 24%
2 26%
Score1:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 54% 25% 21% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes
Claude 50% 24% 26% 1:1 Over 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X (Chikago Fayr ne proigraet)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 54.6% @ 1.72 / X 23.5% @ 4.00 / 2 21.9% @ 4.30
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Chicago Fire 52%
📐 Math model Chicago Fire 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Chicago Fire - Necaxa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chicago Fire 54.6% 54.4% market and model agree
Draw 23.6% 23.4% draw risk
Necaxa 21.9% 22.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.4% / 23.4% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,541 / 1,394 Chicago Fire / Necaxa
RD 248 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,045-2,037 / 906-1,881 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.25 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
X 3.95 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.71 market consensus · no value · model 54.4%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 76.6%
1X 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.8%
X2 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 45.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
x2 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.16 46.3%
X 2.51 39.8%
4.57 21.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center

Odds · 1 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.48 (Winline) · X 3.8 (Winline) · 2 2.68 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.48 3.8 2.68
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Chicago Fire
W L L W W
2026-08-02 MLS 2026
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2:1 Charlotte
2026-07-25 MLS 2026
Chicago Fire New York City 3:1 Chicago Fire
2026-07-22 MLS 2026
Chicago Fire Inter Miami 3:2 Chicago Fire
2026-05-24 MLS 2026
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2:1 Toronto
2026-05-16 MLS 2026
Chicago Fire Montreal 0:2 Chicago Fire
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Necaxa
L W W L D
2026-08-03 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Toluca 3:1 Necaxa Necaxa
2026-07-26 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Necaxa 2:1 Monterrey Necaxa
2026-07-17 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Necaxa 2:1 Atlante Necaxa
2026-04-27 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Cruz Azul 4:1 Necaxa Necaxa
2026-04-23 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Necaxa 0:0 Chivas Guadalajara Necaxa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChicago Fire - Necaxa

Chicago Fire
0 matches total
Necaxa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history