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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings

Minnesota United - Juarez

Football
M
Minnesota United
- : -
Not started
Juarez
Juarez

Minnesota United meet Juarez on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Minnesota United 0-3-2, Juarez 1-1-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Minnesota United — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Minnesota United): model 59% · market 55% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Minnesota United54.8%
X · draw23.9%
2 · Juarez21.3%

Model estimate: win Minnesota United 54.8%, draw 23.9%, win Juarez 21.3%. Model favourite — Minnesota United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Minnesota United (odds1.75) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Minnesota: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota United - Juarez August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 3.85 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 54.5%
X 24.1%
2 21.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.70 → 1.70
1X2 X 3.85 → 3.85
1X2 P2 4.40 → 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 54.7% @ 1.70 / X 24.2% @ 3.85 / 2 21.1% @ 4.40
Match center

Minnesota United - Juarez

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minnesota United 54.5% 54.8% market and model agree
Draw 24.1% 23.9% draw risk
Juarez 21.3% 21.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.8% / 23.9% / 21.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,484 / 1,152 Minnesota United / Juarez
RD 221 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,041-1,927 / 711-1,594 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 21.3%
X 3.85 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 54.8%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 76.1%
1X 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 78.7%
X2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 45.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
x2 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
X 2.36 42.4%
4.72 21.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.69 59.2%
Under 1 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Minnesota United
D D L D L
2026-08-02 MLS 2026
Minnesota United Minnesota United 1:1 San Diego
2026-07-26 MLS 2026
Minnesota United Minnesota United 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps
2026-07-23 MLS 2026
Minnesota United Sporting Kansas City 2:1 Minnesota United
2026-05-23 MLS 2026
Minnesota United Minnesota United 1:1 Real Salt Lake
2026-05-16 MLS 2026
Minnesota United New England Revolution 2:1 Minnesota United
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Juarez
L L L D W
2026-08-01 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Juarez 1:5 Pumas UNAM Juarez
2026-07-25 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Chivas Guadalajara 1:0 Juarez Juarez
2026-07-18 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Juarez 0:1 Puebla Juarez
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
Colorado Rapids 1:1 Juarez Juarez
2026-04-26 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Juarez 2:1 Atletico San Luis Juarez
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMinnesota United - Juarez

Minnesota United
0 matches total
Juarez
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history