Monterrey take on Orlando City on August 5, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monterrey 3-0-2, Orlando City 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Monterrey — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Monterrey): model 53% · market 38%Δ +15 ppmodel estimates above the market
39%1
1 · Monterrey39.2%
X · draw24.6%
2 · Orlando City36.2%
Model estimate: win Monterrey 39.2%, draw 24.6%, win Orlando City 36.2%. Model favourite — Monterrey.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Monterrey (odds1.89)Score 2:1confidence 53%
•Model backs Monterrey: probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
•legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monterrey - Orlando City August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Monterrey. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 3.80 / 2 2.55
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
4 books
138.4%
X24.8%
236.9%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P12.20↑ 2.45
1X2 X3.80→ 3.80
1X2 P22.80↓ 2.55
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues Cup
Best price
across 14 books
12.31Pinnacle
X4.00Betfair
22.87Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Monterrey2:2Orlando City
12.42
X3.74
22.52
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 00:51 UTC
158%✓ favourite
X23%
219%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 00:57 UTC
140%✓ favourite
X25%
235%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:BTTS (both to score) — Yes
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
58%
23%
19%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
Claude
40%
25%
35%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
BTTS (both to score) — Yes
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Monterrey38.4%39.2%market and model agree
Draw24.8%24.6%draw risk
Orlando City36.9%36.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P239.2% / 24.6% / 36.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,726 / 1,557
Monterrey / Orlando City
RD234 / 230
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,258-2,194 / 1,097-2,017
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.55
Fonbet · no value · model 36.2%
X3.80
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.45
Fonbet · no value · model 39.2%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet · no value · model 75.4%
1X1.48
Fonbet · no value · model 63.8%
X21.52
Fonbet · no value · model 60.8%
Handicap
2 -11.27
Fonbet · line only
2 +13.40
Fonbet · line only
2 01.91
Fonbet · line only
1 -13.30
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.40
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.80
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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