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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings

Nashville - Leon

Football
Nashville
Nashville
- : -
Not started
Leon
Leon

Nashville face Leon on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nashville — 65%

1 · Nashville ✓ Pick64.7%
market57%
X · draw17.7%
market24%
2 · Leon17.6%
market19%

Model estimate: win Nashville 64.7%, draw 17.7%, win Leon 17.6%. Model favourite — Nashville.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nashville (odds1.55) Score 2:0 confidence 65%
  • • Model backs Neshvill: probability 65% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nashville - Leon August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Nashville. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.90 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 ✓ Pick 57.0%
X 24.1%
2 18.8%

Odds source: Betcity line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.65 / X 24.1% @ 3.90 / 2 18.8% @ 5.00
Match center

Nashville - Leon

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nashville 57.0% 64.7% market and model agree
Draw 24.1% 17.7% draw risk
Leon 18.8% 17.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 64.7% / 17.7% / 17.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,764 / 1,434 Nashville / Leon
RD 198 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,368-2,160 / 1,009-1,860 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 market consensus · no value · model 17.6%
X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.65 market consensus · value +6.7% · model 64.7%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 82.3%
1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 82.4%
X2 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 35.3%
Handicap
2 0 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.16 46.3%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.25 80.0%
3.70 27.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 2.5 2.14 46.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.65 60.6%
X 3.90 25.6%
5.00 20.0%
Match center
Nashville
W D W W
01.08 23:30 UTC+0 USA: MLS Standings
Nashville 2:1 DS Yunayted
25.07 21:30 UTC+0 USA: MLS Standings
Nashville 0:0 Orlando Siti
22.07 22:30 UTC+0 USA: MLS Standings
Nashville 1:0 MonrealMonreal
17.07 22:10 UTC+0 USA: MLS Standings
Nashville 1:0 Atlanta
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
10 Points
Leon
W L L
02.08 01:00 UTC+0 Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Leon 1:0 PachukaPachuka
25.07 01:00 UTC+0 Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Leon 0:1 TikhuanaTikhuana
17.07 23:00 UTC+0 Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Leon 2:3 AtlasAtlas
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNashville - Leon

Nashville
0 matches total
Leon
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history