North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
Austin - Tijuana
Austin go head-to-head with Tijuana on August 7, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Austin 1-0-4, Tijuana 3-2-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Austin — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Austin): model 33% · market 43% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Austin 42.1%, draw 25.9%, win Tijuana 32.0%. Model favourite — Austin.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tikhuana: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.14)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Austin - Tijuana August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.60 / 2 3.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Leagues CupHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 27% | 25% | 48% | 0:1 | Under 2.5 | No | X2 |
| Claude | 32% | 24% | 44% | 1:1 | Under 3.5 | Yes | X2 (draw or win Tikhuany) |
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Austin - Tijuana
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.31 43.3% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.63 61.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.68 37.3% | |
| X | 2.34 42.7% |
| 3.59 27.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.64 61.0% |
| Under 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
Odds · 1 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.73 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
Tijuana
Full head-to-head historyAustin - Tijuana
Match history
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The Austin - Tijuana breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form