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North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
North American Leagues Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 02:00 UTC Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round
Finished

North American Leagues Cup. Group stage

Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC

Football
Tigres Monterrey
Tigres Monterrey
1 : 1
Finished
Duluth FC
Duluth FC

Tigres Monterrey take on Duluth FC on August 5, 2026 in the North American Leagues Cup. Group stage.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Duluth FC40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Duluth FC): model 42% · market 40% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Tigres Monterrey35.2%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Duluth FC39.9%

Model estimate: win Tigres Monterrey 35.2%, draw 24.9%, win Duluth FC 39.9%. Model favourite — Duluth FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Duluth FC (odds2.30) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Real Solt-Leyk: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Duluth FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Duluth FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.80 / 2 2.36
  • Glicko: Tigres Monterrey 35.2% / X 24.9% / Duluth FC 39.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books · best price +1.3%
1 35.2%
X 25.1%
2 39.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tigres Monterrey 2 : 1 Duluth FC
12.55
X3.56
22.46

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 35.5% @ 2.65 / X 24.7% @ 3.80 / 2 39.8% @ 2.36
Match center

Tigres Monterrey - Duluth FC

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi UANL Tigres - Real Solt-Leyk, 5 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round. UANL Tigres - Real Solt-Leyk, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tigres Monterrey 35.2% 35.2%
Draw 25.1% 24.9% draw risk
Duluth FC 39.7% 39.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 35.2% / 24.9% / 39.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,313 / 1,491 Tigres Monterrey / Duluth FC
RD 196 / 252 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 921-1,706 / 987-1,996 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
X 3.70 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.63 market consensus · no value · model 35.2%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
1X 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
X2 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 64.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.76 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.99 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.46 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5%
x2 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.25 30.8%
X 2.36 42.4%
2.86 35.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Under 1 2.33 42.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Tigres MonterreyLDLDLWWWWD
Duluth FCDLLWDWWLWL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3 (Betcity) · X 3.95 (Fonbet) · 2 2.2 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.85 3.75 2.2
Winline 2.16 3.6 1.7
Fonbet 2.8 3.95 2.18
Betcity 3 3.9 2.1
Liga Stavok 2.8 3.5 2.19
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Tigres Monterrey
D D D
02.08.2026 Championat
Tigres Monterrey 02.08.2026 Mexico — Liga MKh Keretaro 3 : 2 UANL Tigres 3-y Round
26.07.2026 Championat
Tigres Monterrey 26.07.2026 Mexico — Liga MKh UANL Tigres 2 Atletiko San Luis 2-y Round
17.07.2026 Championat
Tigres Monterrey 17.07.2026 Mexico — Liga MKh Tikhuana 3 : 1 UANL Tigres 1-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Duluth FC
D D D
10.05.2026 Championat
10.05.2026 Mexico — Liga MKh Gvadalakhara Chivas 2 : 0 UANL Tigres Clausura. 1/4 finala. 2-y match Duluth FC
03.05.2026 Championat
03.05.2026 Mexico — Liga MKh UANL Tigres 3 : 1 Gvadalakhara Chivas Clausura. 1/4 finala. 1-y match 1 Wins 1 Draws 3 Losses 1.6 Scored 1.6 Conceded 8+1 Kartochki +1 0 +1 +5 +1 0 -2 -1 -2 0 -1 -2 15 30 45 60 75 Duluth FC
02.08.2026 Championat
02.08.2026 USA — Major League Soccer Sent-Luis Siti Duluth FC
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Tigres Monterrey
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Duluth FC
Tigres Monterrey Team comparison Duluth FC
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

UANL Tigres Real Solt-Leyk 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khuan Brunetta 1:0 6' Pablo Ruis 1 16' Poslematchevye penalti Khuan Sanabriya 0:1 Khuan Brunetta 1 Sergi Solans 1:2 Fernando Gorriaran 2 Diego Luna 2:3 Rodrigo Agirre 3 Noel Caliskan 3:4 Sesar Araukho 4 Lukas Engel 4:5 Alan Franko 5 Zach Booth 5 Khesus Garsa 6:5 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 46% 31% 23% Double chance 39% 34% 27% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330536' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings