North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings
Cincinnati - Pachuca
Cincinnati take on Pachuca on August 3, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup Lig Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cincinnati 4-0-1, Pachuca 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Cincinnati — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cincinnati): model 52% · market 46% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Cincinnati 46.3%, draw 24.6%, win Pachuca 29.1%. Model favourite — Cincinnati.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tsintsinnati: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cincinnati - Pachuca August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.02 / X 3.85 / 2 3.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Cincinnati - Pachuca
football, Tsintsinnati - Pachuka, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Tsintsinnati - Pachuka, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup lig MLS + MX, Cup lig MLS + MX. 1-y Round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.90 34.5% | 2.94 34.0% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% |
| x2 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 2.54 39.4% |
| 3.49 28.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
Pachuca
Full head-to-head historyCincinnati - Pachuca
Match history
Tsintsinnati Pachuka 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330556' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup lig MLS + MX Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form