Nairn County take on Forres Mechanics on August 5, 2026 in the ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Khaylend Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Nairn County 1-0-0, Forres Mechanics 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Nairn County — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Nairn County): model 44% · market 44%Δ 0 ppmodel estimate matches the market
44%1
1 · Nairn County43.6%
X · draw26.0%
2 · Forres Mechanics30.4%
Model estimate: win Nairn County 43.6%, draw 26.0%, win Forres Mechanics 30.4%. Model favourite — Nairn County.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Nairn County (odds2.34)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Nairn Kaunti: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.34)
•edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nairn County - Forres Mechanics August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Nairn County. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.8%
2 books
143.6%
X26.2%
230.2%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Football League - Highland League
League table
Nairn County
#74 ptsGP 21-1-04:1
Forres Mechanics
#64 ptsGP 21-1-08:4
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nairn County
W-D-L 4-1-5Scored 1.25Conceded 1.44
Forres Mechanics
W-D-L 3-3-4Scored 1.84Conceded 1.72
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Nairn County
Rating 1515
Forres Mechanics
Rating 1521
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Nairn County2:2Forres Mechanics
12.09
X3.42
23.02
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Nairn County43.6%43.6%market and model agree
Draw26.2%26.0%draw risk
Forres Mechanics30.2%30.4%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P243.6% / 26.0% / 30.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.02
market consensus · no value · model 30.4%
X3.48
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.09
market consensus · no value · model 43.6%
Double chance
121.22
market consensus · no value · model 74.0%
1X1.30
market consensus · no value · model 69.6%
X21.60
market consensus · no value · model 56.4%
Handicap
2 02.25
market consensus · line only
1 01.59
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.74
market consensus · line only
Yes1.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
2.7436.5%
yes
1.4071.4%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
12
1.2282.0%
1x
1.3076.9%
x2
1.6062.5%
First Half Winner
Outcome
Leon
2.6437.9%
X
2.2344.8%
3.5528.2%
Goals Over/Under First Half
Outcome
Leon
Over 1.5
2.1646.3%
Under 1.5
1.6261.7%
Match center
Nairn County
W
25.07 12:00 UTCShOTLANDIYa: Liga Khaylend Standings
Nairn County3:0Rots
1Wins
0Draws
0Losses
3.0Scored
0.0Conceded
3Points
Forres Mechanics
W
25.07 12:00 UTCShOTLANDIYa: Liga Khaylend Standings
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