ShOTLANDIYa: Liga Loulend Standings
Tranent - Cowdenbeath
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Tranent — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tranent): model 57% · market 62% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Tranent 61.0%, draw 21.3%, win Cowdenbeath 17.7%. Model favourite — Tranent.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tranent: probability 61% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tranent - Cowdenbeath July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.40 / 2 5.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Tranent - Cowdenbeath
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.50 40.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.01 49.8% | |
| X | 2.32 43.1% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
Full head-to-head historyTranent - Cowdenbeath
Match history
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The Tranent - Cowdenbeath breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form