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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg

1-y Round 03.08.2026 18:30 UTC

03.08.2026 18:30 UTC 1-y Round

Not started

UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg

Celtic - Dundee

Football

Stadium Seltik Park (Glazgo, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 60832

Celtic

- : -

Not started

Dundee

Celtic go head-to-head with Dundee on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celtic 1-3-1, Dundee 3-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Celtic — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Celtic): model 29% · market 79% Δ −50 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Celtic ✓ Pick76.1%

market79%

X · draw13.6%

market13%

2 · Dundee10.4%

market8%

Model estimate: win Celtic 76.1%, draw 13.6%, win Dundee 10.4%. Model favourite — Celtic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celtic - Dundee August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Celtic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 7.50 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%

1 ✓ Pick 79.1%

X 12.9%

2 8.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premiership

League table

Celtic

#80 ptsGP 00-0-00:0

Dundee

#70 ptsGP 00-0-00:0

Best price across 14 books

1 1.23 Betano

X 7.50 Bet365

2 14.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Celtic

W-D-L 9-0-1 Scored 2.21 Conceded 1.10 xG 2.14 xGA 1.07 Corners 5.6

Dundee

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.20 xGA 1.59 Corners 4.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Celtic

Rating 1682 xG 2.46 Win 77%

Dundee

Rating 1458 xG 0.66 Win 8%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Seltik Park (Glazgo, Shotlandiya), vmestimost: 60832

Start 03.08.2026 18:30 UTC

Market 1 79.1% @ 1.22 / X 12.9% @ 7.50 / 2 8.0% @ 12.00

Match center

Celtic - Dundee

football, Seltik - Dandi, 3 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Seltik - Dandi, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Shotlandii po futbolu 2027, 1-y Round.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Celtic 79.1% 76.1% market and model agree

Draw 13.1% 13.6% draw risk

Dundee 7.9% 10.4%

xG - 2.46 : 0.66

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 76.1% / 13.6% / 10.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,811 Celtic / Dundee

RD 350 / 238 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,335-2,287 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 76.1%

Double chance

12 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 86.4%

1X 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 89.6%

X2 4.45 market consensus · no value · model 23.9%

Both teams to score

No 1.88 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.88 53.2%
yes	1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%
1x	1.02 98.0%	1.01 99.0%
x2	4.50 22.2%	4.40 22.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.53 65.4%
X	3.16 31.7%
	9.90 10.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.95 51.3%
Under 1.5	1.80 55.6%

Match center

Celtic

D D L D W

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Celtic Celtic 2:2 Milan

2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026

Celtic Celtic 1:1 Middlesbrough

2026-07-14 Club Friendly Games 2026

Celtic Sporting Lisbon 4:1 Celtic

2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026

Celtic Shelbourne 1:1 Celtic

2026-05-23 Scottish Cup 25/26

Celtic Celtic 3:1 Dunfermline

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Dundee

W D L W W

2026-07-25 League Cup 26/27, Group D

Dundee 4:0 Clyde Dundee

2026-07-21 League Cup 26/27, Group D

Ross County 1:1 Dundee Dundee

2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026

Dundee 0:4 Everton Dundee

2026-07-14 League Cup 26/27, Group D

Annan Athletic 0:5 Dundee Dundee

2026-07-11 League Cup 26/27, Group D

Dundee 4:2 Airdrieonians Dundee

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCeltic - Dundee

Celtic

0 matches total

Dundee

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Celtic

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Dundee

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

Seltik Dandi 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 90% 10% 0% Double chance 50% 45% 5% Materialy po prognozam «Latsio» — «Seltik». Prognoz: proveryaem koeffitsient 4.05 v matche Ligi Evropy Zvezdy «Ayaksa» esche ne sygralis, «Shturm» etim vospolzuetsya Na matche «Spartaka» v Bilbao skuchno ne budet Zimniy pereryv negativno skazhetsya na vystuplenii klubov RFPL v LE Reabilitatsiya «Yuventusa»: Dibala and Ko gotovyat syurprizy dlya oborony «Barsy» Akinfeev vnov propustit, no CSKA ne proigraet «MYu» v matche s CSKA ne povtorit oshibok «Liverpulya» Rostovskiy evrotur. Rossiyskiy klub vyydet v playoff Ligi Evropy «Rostov» and «Seltik» poschipayut favoritov, no ne bolee togo «Bavariya» and «Rostov» priberegut samoe interesnoe na vtoroy taym CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330442' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('sti