ShRI-LANKA: Superliga Standings
Red Star - Blyu Star
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Blyu Star — 48%
Model estimate: win Red Star 32.5%, draw 19.1%, win Blyu Star 48.4%. Model favourite — Blyu Star.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Blyu Star: probability 50% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.72)
- • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Red Star - Blyu Star July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 4.24 / 2 2.72
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Red Star - Blyu Star
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 4.63 21.6% |
| yes | 1.20 83.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.59 38.6% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% |
| 2.85 35.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 2 | 2.01 49.8% |
| Under 2 | 1.78 56.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.74 57.5% | |
| 2.10 47.6% |
Blyu Iglz
Full head-to-head historyRed Star - Blyu Star
Match history
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The Red Star - Blyu Star breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form