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Switzerland: First League Standings
Switzerland: First League Standings
30.07.2026 15:30 UTC
30.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Not started

Switzerland: First League Standings

Vil - Ksamaks

Football
V
Vil
- : -
Not started
K
Ksamaks
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vil — 41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vil): model 33% · market 42% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vil41.1%
X · draw24.7%
2 · Ksamaks34.2%

Model estimate: win Vil 41.1%, draw 24.7%, win Ksamaks 34.2%. Model favourite — Vil.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vil (odds2.21) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Vil: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.21)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vil - Ksamaks July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vil. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.70 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 41.5%
X 24.9%
2 33.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Vil - Ksamaks

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vil 41.6% 41.1% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
Ksamaks 33.6% 34.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.1% / 24.7% / 34.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,380 / 1,600 Vil / Ksamaks
RD 272 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 836-1,923 / 1,017-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 34.2%
X 3.70 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.21 market consensus · no value · model 41.1%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 65.8%
X2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 58.9%
Handicap
2 0 2.09 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4%
x2 1.54 64.9% 1.62 61.7%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.66 60.2% 1.68 59.5%
2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 3.5 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
2.73 36.6% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Vil
L
24.07 15:30 UTC Switzerland: First League Standings
Vil 1:2 Rapperswil-Jona
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Ksamaks
W
24.07 15:30 UTC Switzerland: First League Standings
Ksamaks 3:2 Krins
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVil - Ksamaks

Vil
0 matches total
Ksamaks
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history