Slovakia: Nike liga Standings
Komarno - Spartak Trnava
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Spartak Trnava — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · Spartak Trnava): model 31% · market 41% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Komarno 31.8%, draw 28.0%, win Spartak Trnava 40.2%. Model favourite — Spartak Trnava.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.24)
- • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Komarno - Spartak Trnava August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.08 / X 3.30 / 2 2.34
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Komarno - Spartak Trnava
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.56 64.1% |
| x2 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.61 27.7% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 2.83 35.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.79 35.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
Komarno
Trenchin
Spartak Trnava
Skalitsa
Full head-to-head historyKomarno - Spartak Trnava
Match history
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The Komarno - Spartak Trnava breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form