Match center
Start
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished
Solomon islands. S-League
Gimpo Citizen - Incheon United
1
:
4
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Incheon United — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Incheon United): model 32% · market 63% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gimpo Citizen 16.6%, draw 22.0%, win Incheon United 61.4%. Model favourite — Incheon United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Gimpo Citizen (odds1.74)
Score 2:1
Under 4.5
(odds1.90) ✗
Handicap H1 +3.5
(odds4.20) ✓
confidence 58%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs FK Kimpkho: probability 58% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1
- • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.90)
- • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 4.20).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gimpo Citizen - Incheon United July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Incheon United.
Line favourite market consensus: Incheon United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.40 / X 4.30 / 2 1.48
- Glicko: Gimpo Citizen 16.6% / X 22.0% / Incheon United 61.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
1
14.7%
X
21.8%
2 ✓ Pick
63.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Gimpo Citizen
1
:
1
Incheon United
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Gimpo Citizen - Incheon United
Form
1/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 52.7% fact: away
missed / Brier 0.845 / LogLoss 1.297
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 52.7% fact: away
missed / Brier 0.845 / LogLoss 1.297
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Gimpo Citizen
14.8%
16.6%
Draw
22.0%
22.0%
draw risk
Incheon United
63.2%
61.4%
market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
16.6% / 22.0% / 61.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,418 / 1,395
Gimpo Citizen / Incheon United
RD
179 / 200
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,060-1,776 / 996-1,795
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.48
market consensus · no value · model 61.4%
X
4.25
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
6.30
market consensus · no value · model 16.6%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
1X
2.53
market consensus · no value · model 38.6%
X2
1.09
market consensus · no value · model 83.4%
Handicap
2 -1
1.75
market consensus · line only
1 +1
2.01
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.30
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.04 49.0% | — | |
| — | — | 9.00 11.1% | |
| — | — | 4.20 23.8% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.03 97.1% | |
| — | — | 1.03 97.1% | |
| — | — | 1.18 84.8% | |
| — | — | 12.50 8.0% | |
| — | — | 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.73 57.8% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.58 63.3% | 1.57 63.7% | — |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 5.10 19.6% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 6.5 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
Gimpo Citizen
W
Gimpo Citizen
2:1
Namyangju Citizen
Namyangju Citizen
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Incheon United
D
L
W
L
L
Incheon United
1:1
Puchkhon 1995
Puchkhon 1995
Incheon United
0:3
Ulsan
Incheon United
1:0
Chonbuk Motors
Incheon United
0:1
Anyang
Incheon United
0:1
Seul
Seul
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGimpo Citizen - Incheon United
Gimpo Citizen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form