Solomon islands. S-League
Jeju United - Hwaseong
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Jeju United — 54%
Model estimate: win Jeju United 53.7%, draw 19.1%, win Hwaseong 27.2%. Model favourite — Jeju United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Chedzhu: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jeju United - Hwaseong July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.63 / 2 4.76
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Jeju United - Hwaseong
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.19 45.7% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.94 51.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 1.65 60.6% |
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.76 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
Kanvon
Pkhokhan Stilers
Kimchkhon Sanmu
Hwaseong
Yanpkhen
Full head-to-head historyJeju United - Hwaseong
Match history
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The Jeju United - Hwaseong breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form