Match center
Start
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished
South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Ulsan Sitizen - Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
2
:
1
Finished
I
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ulsan Sitizen - Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Ulsan Sitizen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 3.45 / 2 10.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 31.6%
1
70.4%
X
22.0%
2
7.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • FA Cup - Round of 64
Team stats
Ulsan Sitizen
LDLLDLLLDW
W 1 • D 3 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.4
Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
LDLLWWDDLD
W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.9 : 1.7
Head-to-head: 6 — Ulsan Sitizen 3, draws 1, Incheon Hyundai Steel (w) 2 (goals 6:7)
- Ulsan Citizen — Chuncheon Citizen2026-04-05 2:1
- Chuncheon Citizen — Ulsan Citizen2025-08-17 0:0
- Ulsan Citizen — Chuncheon Citizen2025-04-20 1:3
- Ulsan Citizen — Chuncheon Citizen2024-08-17 2:1
- Chuncheon Citizen — Ulsan Citizen2024-04-20 2:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Ulsan Sitizen - Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
10.00
Fonbet · line only
X
3.45
Fonbet · line only
1
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
6.10
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.35 74.1% | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.90 34.5% | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 5.80 17.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.49 28.7% | |
| X | 1.92 52.1% |
| 3.29 30.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUlsan Sitizen - Incheon Hyundai Steel (w)
Ulsan Sitizen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals